VAR

The credibility of Hong Kong's currency board system: looking through the prism of MS‐VAR models with time‐varying transition probabilities

This paper employs a Markov regime‐switching VAR model to describe and analyse the time‐varying credibility of Hong Kong's currency board system. The endogenously estimated discrete regime shifts are made dependent on macroeconomic fundamentals. This …

Modelling the time-variation in euro area lending spreads

Using a Markov-switching VAR with endogenous transition probabilities, we analyse what has triggered the interest rate pass-through impairment for Italy, Ireland, Spain and Portugal. We find that global risk factors have contributed …