About Me
I am an economist and a professional forecaster for RWI – Leibniz Institute of Economic Research in Essen, Germany at the division Macroeconomics and Public Finance.
I am part of the junior faculty of the Ruhr Graduate School of Economics and a research fellow of DocMA - an interdisciplinary research project in which algorithms process huge amounts of newspaper articles and texts of social media in order to recognize patterns.
On this page you will find my research, forecasts, replication codes, and previous teaching materials.
Interests
- Applied Macroeconomics
- Forecasting
- Econometrics
- Bayesian Methods
- Teaching
Education
PhD in Economics, 2015
Hamburg Graduate School of Economics at the University of Hamburg
MSc in Economics, 2011
University of Bonn
BSc Economics and Management, 2008
University of Magdeburg
Blog
Research
(2024).
Economic Knock-On Effects of Russia’s Geopolitical Risk on Advanced Economies: A Global VAR Approach.
Ruhr Economic Papers, 1061(1).
(2022).
Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information.
Working paper coming soon.
(2022).
Financial integration or financial fragmentation? A euro area perspective.
Economic Modelling (2022).
(2021).
The investment narrative: Improving private investment forecasts with media data.
Ruhr Economic Papers #921.
(2021).
Monetary policy uncertainty and inflation expectations.
Ruhr Economic Papers No. 899. Forthcoming in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
Latest Forecast
